The Big Shift

There is a realignment going on in developed Western countries since the 1960s as a result of fundamental changes in the economic, social, and political system we call liberalism. The changes move on two parallel, mutually reinforcing tracks: economically, modern capitalism is increasingly globalized with high-tech growing in importance over manufacture. High-tech is American —national— in name only, and most manufacturing is outsourced to poor countries. On the social and political track, open borders invite mass immigration from poor countries, with weaponized words like “multiculturalism,” “diversity,” “white supremacy,” “nativism,” and oikophobia used as ideological justifiers against the national working, lower-middle, and middle classes. These huge changes directly affect traditional big and small businesses and their employees and workers, and by themselves have dramatically changed the constituencies of political parties. For example, in 2018 the richest and most unequal electoral districts voted for the Democrat Party. The unprecedented changes can be clearly seen in the following graph of the evolution of the left-wing vote from Thomas Piketty 2018:

The new constituencies of the leftist parties are the top end of society: well-off, liberal, cosmopolitan, highly educated city and suburban adults and students, and the lowest end of society: ethnic minorities and poor immigrants from poor countries. The right-wing parties and traditional businesses are left in no-mans land, confused; the former can’t yet see that free enterprise has morphed into globalism and works against their basic interests as national institutions, and the latter can’t help accepting abundant and cheap foreign labor. The main victims of the transformation, the middle and working classes of developed countries, became political orphans looking for a new home. Donald Trump and Boris Johnson burst into and took advantage of this situation.

Turbulent times these. As I have written before, this transformation points to a neo-feudal society of a few seigneurs and a vast mass of serfs, and to a supranational, non-democratic social and political system in which most traditions have been thrown by the side, a refined Brave New World dystopia. Joel Kotkin unfolds the basic idea open in his article America’s Drift Toward Feudalism. What can also be seen, I think, is that the late rebellion expressed in the Trump movement and in Nigel Farage’s and Boris Johnson’s Brexit has a defensive nature which, while it has already won some battles, has little chance of winning the war unless improbable circumstances come to the fore, such as continuous majorities and a cultural renewal that can push back with enough force against globalism, mass immigration, and demographic collapse. After all, the mission is none other than saving Western Civilization.

In late liberalism, outsourcing and multiculturalism are two sides of the same globalist coin. High-tech “woke” capitalism is a different beast and has more and more natural connections to the new left than to the traditional right. In high-tech companies, political and social decisions are just as important as business decisions, and they are mostly pushed by the employees, a completely new situation in capitalism but one that doesn’t stop a mid-way company like Boeing from taking crude advantage of it.

As often happens, the main actors are the last ones to see what’s coming. As Powerline’s John Hinderaker writes, it never occurred to the Founders that five companies would become censors of the world, but it is a 21st-century reality that access to information is almost 100% in the hands of a few young, ignorant, unwise, but very rich leftists.

____________________
Piketty 2019
Piketty 2018
Ed West, The Great Realignment: America Got There First
Eric Kaufmann, Who Cares About Immigration?
Britain’s Labour Party Got Woke And Now It’s Broke
Willis Krumholz, Tucker Carlson is Right About Wall Street’s Indifference to America
John Davidson, Tucker Carlson’s Critique of Paul Singer is Part of the Reckoning Underway in America

Vladimir Dorta, 12/14/2019